Turkey’s Erdogan Betrays Putin

On the cusp of the NATO Summit in Vilnius, Turkey’s President Erdogan dropped a number of turds in the Russian punch bowl– he broke the contract he made with Russia to put behind bars AZOV leaders who were taken detainee at Mariupol in May of 2022, he backed instant subscription in NATO for Ukraine and he signed an offer to broaden drone production in Ukraine

Erdogan’s relocations have actually been welcomed with anger in Moscow and reinforced the position of hardliners who have long firmly insisted that Erdogan is not to be relied on. It does make Putin look both silly and weak for relying on Erdogan to support his side of the deal to keep the AZOV leaders penned up till the war in Ukraine ends. This is not going to galvanize Putin’s challengers to require his elimination, however it does bring glee and merrymaking to Western leaders excited to see Putin harmed.

What the hell was Erdogan believing? Let’s begin with the ludicrous contract to “broaden drone production” in Ukraine. This is common Erdogan corruption. His son-in-law manages the production of these drones and stands to benefit economically if Ukraine has the ability to construct more Bayraktars. Just a number of issues. The drone draws. It has actually been shown to be a tactical flop on the battleground of Ukraine. Second, who in their ideal mind thinks that the Russian armed force will permit those factories to run? If production centers, through some wonder, are put up then Russian hypersonic rockets and FAB slide bombs will make sure to make a check out. The only worth of this contract is the optics– it is an implied vote of approval for Zelensky simply when the Ukrainian military offensive is sputtering towards oblivion. Erdogan can appear in Vilnius as claim, “hi, I’m assisting our little drug smelling comic, what are you doing?”

Then there are the AZOV leaders that Erdogan let go. Significant Serhii Volynskyi, envisioned above, declares that he ended up in Turkey, after giving up at Mariupol, due to the fact that of a secret offer worked out in between Russia and the United States that enabled “high-ranking United States officers” to leave capture.

I am doubtful of this story for the easy factor that there has actually not been a single leakage about such an offer previously. If there truly were “high-ranking” U.S. officers caught in and consequently devoid of Mariupol word of that would have been distributing in U.S. military and intelligence back channels. This sounds more like an info operation– i.e., propaganda– to plant the seed of doubt about Russia’s determination to face the United States. I wait for some corroborating info prior to purchasing into this story.

Lastly, we have Erdogan catering Biden. What?!! Turkey aspires to sign up with the collapsing European Union? Is Erdogan actually this foolish? He obviously still stops working to comprehend that Europeans look down on Turkey as second-class people not worthwhile of being called “Europeans.”

The Office of the President of Turkey reports the information of the telephone discussion in between Erdogan and Biden:

” The Turkish President has actually asked European Union leaders to send out a clear and strong message of assistance for his nation’s accession to the EU.

Erdogan informed Biden about his desire to restore the procedure of Turkey’s accession to the European Union.

The celebrations accepted satisfy at a NATO top and talk about relations in between the 2 nations.”

This is strange. Does Erdogan truly think that Dementia Joe (e.g., Long Live the Queen) brings influence with the Europeans and can get him an offer to lead the way for Turkey to sign up with the Europe club? Simply does not accumulate. Other European countries, particularly Germany (which is house to a lot of Turks) does not share Erdogan’s desire to accelerate Ukraine’s entry to NATO.

Germany will promote a post ponement of Ukraine’s NATO subscription at the Vilnius top beginning July 11, a source informed The Telegraph. Berlin will contact the Allies to concentrate on security warranties.

The most likely unfavorable fall out from Erdogan’s shenanigans is completion of the Grain Deal. Russia now has little reward to restore that arrangement and is most likely to step up marine activity in the Black Sea in order to shutdown Ukraine’s access to maritime commerce.

Erdogan has actually done some absurd things in the past and has a flair for self-inflicted injuries. Perhaps he is in the early phases of dementia. While his shenanigans might burnish his image with the West, which is dealing with financial headwinds and significant obstacles in Ukraine, Turkey’s position as a “reputable negotiating partner” has actually been ruined. The next couple of weeks will be fascinating to state the least.