IS RUSSIA PRE-EMPTING THE UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE?

( This picture is a previously and after photo of Russia’s attack on the UAF ammo depot near Zhytomyr on May 28, 2023.)

With all the loose talk from Ukraine and the West about the upcoming (or underway) counter offending, it is natural for some observers to conclude that Russia is relaxing waiting to see what unfolds. That is incorrect.

Before diving into the information of what Russia is doing, I wish to highlight the current delusional declaration by U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, who reports he has actually been informed on Ukraine’s looming operation. Graham states:

” The Russians are ‘in for an impolite awakening’ when the Ukrainian counter-offensive starts. In the coming days, you will see a rather remarkable program of force by the Ukrainians,” he stated.

Not sure what makes up an “outstanding program of force” however Ukraine has actually stepped up its attacks on Russian civilian targets and continues to attempt to send out unique forces groups on raids into Russian area. Ukraine, with motivation from its Western backers, is attempting to perform a terrorist project in the vain hope that it will prompt panic amongst the Russian population and stir discontent amongst the Russia management. The stopped working drone attack on Moscow today is one symptom of this “technique”. Here are a few of the most recent Ukrainian efforts:

In the location of the Berkhovsky tank, the opponent tried to storm the landing according to his preferred plan: a dive of an armored group with infantry and the fastest method to our positions. The landing infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine rapidly came under machine-gun and weapons fire from our marines, and one of the YPR-765 s was struck by an ATGM shot. As an outcome, the opponent might not endure the resistance and quickly pulled back.

Over the previous 2 weeks, the strength of the Belgorod area border areas shelling has actually substantially increased. The other day the area bypassed the #Donetsk pile in regards to the variety of inbound AFU ammo. At the exact same time, surges continue to rattle in numerous districts of the #Belgorod area today. 7 civilians have actually been hurt and someone has actually passed away alone in the last 2 days.

Three sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has actually been handicapped near Timkovka, Sinkovka, and Kotlyarovka. As much as 70 Ukrainian workers, 2 armoured cars, and 4 pick-up trucks were neutralised. (They were apparently headed to the Russian border with Ukraine).

There is a plain distinction in between the Ukrainian and Russian attacks. Ukraine is continuing its custom of shelling civilian targets while Russia is concentrated on securing Ukrainian military workers, setups and facilities.

Russia is continuing its shellacking of Ukrainian postions:

• 10 surges reported in Kiev tonight up until now
• Ukraine mass media reports of surges in Kherson
• Ukraine mass media reports of surges in the Kharkov area
• Reports of surges in Sumy area
• Extensive airstrikes are reported upon Ukrainian positions in Zaporozhye Oblasts, particularly rear tier positions on weapons shooting points and logistics depots by the Russian Aerospace Forces. These air campaign utilize directed bombs and interrupt UKR preparations for their offensive.

It appears that a person of Russia’s goals is to require Ukraine to fire costly air defense possessions (a quickly reducing quantity) versus low expense drones. This is degrading Ukraine’s capability to safeguard Critical National Infrastructure (CNI) and improves Russia’s ability to utilize set wing airplane on strike much deeper inside Ukrainian area.

The Wagner Group is no longer the primary story. I continue to think that the media concentrate on Wagner belonged to a Russian info operation to sidetrack attention from the activities of Russia’s primary military forces. It appears like Russia is moving the Wagner details operation back to the Chechens, who were the included force in the capture of Mariupol in May2022 The Akhmat battalion i s back in the news and Yevgeny Prigozhin, a GRU mouth piece, is promoting their expertise.

” Akhmat” will handle particular locations. They do not have the job of liberating the whole DPR. They will handle particular locations in which they will run,” stated the head of the PMC “Wagner”.

Simply put, Russia is pushing Ukraine along the cutting edge and striking military targets in Western Ukraine, near the Polish border, and Ukraine has no response. Even if the Western media is preventing reporting on Russian activities that does not indicate Russia is asleep at the wheel. At a minimum Russia is ensuring that the political and military authorities in Kiev and Lviv are not getting a great night’s sleep.